Executive Briefing
Economist Intelligence Unit | in partnership with Harvard Business School Publishing


Tough Times Call for CLV

by V. Kumar

March 29, 2009

In difficult economic times, businesses need every possible advantage. Utilizing the Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) measurement has provided that advantage to many companies, from giants such as IBM and an upscale global fashion retailer to a variety of smaller firms throughout the world.

In its simplest terms, CLV is a formula that helps a marketing manager arrive at a dollar value associated with the long term relationship with any given customer, revealing just how much a customer relationship is worth over a period of time. It differs from other formulas in that it is a forward-looking measurement of customer performance and takes into consideration all elements of revenue, expense and customer behavior that drive profitability. CLV helps marketers adopt the right marketing activities today to increase profitability tomorrow. It rewards not those who have been the best customers, but those who will be the best customers in the foreseeable future

Why CLV is Better
None of the other well-known customer performance measurements is as all-encompassing as the CLV metric.

The Share of Wallet (SOW) measurement, which represents the spending that a business captures from a customer in products and services in relation to the total spending in that category, does not explain when a customer is likely to buy next and how profitable a customer will be in the future. A second method, the use of historical profit assumes that the past spending behavior of the customer is going to continue in the future. Not always the case. Finally, there is the widely used Reach, Frequency and Monetary Value (RFM) metric, which measures the number of days/weeks/months since the last transaction occurred, and how much the customer has contributed to revenues in the past and how frequently these customers have been buying from that firm. However, it does not reveal any information about whether or not a customer is loyal, when a customer is likely to buy next, or how much profit a customer is likely to give. CLV overcomes these three issues by incorporating the probability of a customer being active in the future and the marketing dollars to be spent to retain that customer.

Implementing CLV
To put CLV in place takes assistance from the top management, availability of customer-level data and a strategy/structure for campaign management. All are essential. I and my team have implemented CLV in both B2B and B2C companies. When IBM implemented our CLV-based framework including optimally re-allocating resources to profitable customers, they saw a ten-fold increase in their revenues the following year. Similarly, when a B2C fashion retailer implemented our framework, they were able to analyze their profitability both from a customer level and a store level. On a customer level, they observed that the top 20 per cent of their customers accounted for 95 per cent of profits, and they were actually losing money with the bottom 30 per cent of customers. Through implementing these CLV-based strategies, this B2C firm realized a 42 per cent increase in store revenue for the bottom 10 stores in one year and a 30 per cent increase in stock price or shareholder value compared to other B2C firms in this industry.

Customer Benefits
Customers benefit from CLV because businesses better understand their needs. They receive better targeted and higher value offerings. The customer receives a greater perceived value from the firm and, finally, the customer feels more satisfied with the firm.

Benefits to the firm
By implementing CLV, companies can:

  • Provide better customer experience
  • Increase customer loyalty
  • Increase the likelihood of customers repurchasing from the firm
  • Increase the likelihood of customers actually recommending the firm

Making CLV Framework a permanent feature
flowchart on making CLV framework a permanent feature
The application of CLV in a firm is a cyclical process and it all starts with the data as shown above. The firm should collect customer-level transaction data. This data should include information on each and every touch point with the customer (i.e. a direct mail piece, a phone call, and/or an e-mail, etc.). This information can be gathered periodically to refine the model and make appropriate changes to the customer strategies so that profitable customer management is ensured.

Spinning the Wheel
Called the Wheel of Fortune, these strategies enable firms to ensure future profitability by targeting the right customers with the right message, and acquiring and retaining customers with the highest profit potential.

click to view the Wheel of Fortune
click the image to view the entire Wheel of Fortune
As illustrated by the Wheel (click green circle to view entire wheel), the CLV cycle starts with selecting the right customers based on future profitability (Customer Selection oval—upper right of chart). The next step is to manage loyalty and profitability of these customers simultaneously. If you chase loyalty first and then expect profit from those customers, it is not going to happen. Loyal customers demand more and are unwilling to pay higher prices given what they are used to paying. The ROI (Return on Investment) from limited marketing resources can be maximized by allocating more resources to more profitable customers, and contacting them through the most effective communication channels at the most appropriate time with the right message. Also, preventing the attrition of customers is another key step in retaining the most profitable customers. This can be achieved by obtaining a good understanding of the spending patterns and intervening at the right time to prevent the customer from terminating the relationship with the firm.

By encouraging customers to buy from multiple channels (online, catalog and physical stores) and by encouraging them to use the lower-cost channels to make their transactions also enables firms to maximize profits. Subsequently, firms can link a customer's perception of the brand value to customer profitability and then increase firm profits by optimally allocating resources to improve the brand value.

The last strategy links the acquisition and retention of customers to profitability by targeting the right customers who are expected to be acquired, stay longer with the firm and are also expected to provide profits. Thus, by retaining customers with higher profit potential, firms can ensure future profitability.

And Finally
Using CLV as a metric has been proven to be a valuable resource for firms across industries to simultaneously maximize firm's profits and shareholder value as well as customer satisfaction and loyalty. On average, firms that have implemented our CLV based framework realized over 25% to 30% increase in stock price or shareholder value over firms in this industry that have not done so during the observation period.


V. Kumar, Ph.D. is the Richard and Susan Lenny Distinguished Chair Professor in Marketing and executive director of the Center for Excellence in Brand and Customer Management at Georgia State University's J. Mack Robinson College of Business in Atlanta.

He is the author/co-author of numerous books and articles on Customer Lifetime Value. Two of these articles --- "The Power of CLV: Managing Customer Lifetime Value at IBM," (2008) Marketing Science, 27(4), 585-599, co-authored with R. Venkatesan, T. Bohling and D. Beckmann, and "Managing Retailer Profitability – One Customer at a Time!" (2006) Journal of Retailing, 82(4), 277-294, co-authored with D. Shah and R. Venkatesan were used as references for this piece. Also used as a reference was Dr. Kumar's latest book, Managing Customers for Profit, (Wharton School Publishing, 2008)



 

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